Template

Low Volatility Defensive Strategy Template

Avoiding the worst drops matters as much as catching the best rises, because a deep enough fall takes years to climb back from.

Start from this template

What this plan does, rule by rule

  1. Holds companies whose earnings and share price have historically moved in smaller steps rather than large swings.
  2. Avoids piling into the most cyclical corners of the market unless you deliberately add them yourself.
  3. Sells a company once its loss reaches the limit you set, so a single position cannot quietly become the reason your year failed.
  4. Caps how much of your account any single company can take, and keeps holdings spread across industries.
  5. Reviews once a month, and is judged on how it behaved during bad stretches rather than good ones.

Who this suits

You would rather sleep well than win the year. It suits someone who knows they would panic during a sharp fall, and would rather the plan avoid that situation than test their nerve.

Who it does not

If you measure yourself against the fastest-rising part of the market, this will disappoint you every time that part is running. It is designed to give up upside for steadiness, and it does.

How it behaves

Steadier companies, firm selling rules
Style
Lower
Risk
Once a month
Review

What to watch out for

  • This plan will lag, sometimes badly, when the market is rewarding risk. That is the trade it makes on purpose.
  • Steadier companies still fall in a falling market. Nothing here removes market risk; it only limits how much of it lands in one place.

Questions people ask

What makes a plan defensive?

Rules that limit damage: steadier companies, firm caps on how much any one stock can take, and a clear loss level at which a holding is sold rather than hoped over.

Does lower volatility mean lower risk of losing money?

It means smaller day to day swings, which historically came with shallower falls. It does not mean the plan cannot lose money, and how it behaved before is evidence rather than a promise.

How do I know if this suits me?

Run the history test and look at the worst drop in dollars before you look at anything else. If that number would have made you sell, this is the right family of plan for you.

Start here, then make it yours.

Load the template, swap in companies you believe in, and test the change on real history before it runs anywhere.

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